A Luc Richard Mbah a Moute Primer

Steve McPherson —  November 26, 2013 — 10 Comments
Look! It's Chase playing D on Mbah a Moute!

Look! It’s Chase playing D on Mbah a Moute!

Zach already did a nice job of talking about the actual transaction between Minnesota and Sacramento that switched Derrick Williams for Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, and he included some info on the man we’ll all get used to calling LRMAM, but I thought I’d go a little more in-depth on him with some numbers.

Mbah a Moute was drafted by the Milwaukee Bucks with the 37th overall pick in the 2008 NBA Draft. Like Kevin Love, he went to UCLA. He’s currently 27 years old, making him about the same age as Corey Brewer and Nikola Pekovic, for comparison. He’s from Cameroon (where Zach noted he’s an actual prince) and his last name is pronounced “BAH ah MOO-tay.” The first “M” is silent.

Coming off the bench for Sacramento this season, he’s averaging 21.8 minutes per game, in which he’s scoring an average of 4.4 points while grabbing 3 rebounds. He’s shooting 47% on 3.6 attempts per game (and attempting less than one 3-pointer a game) and averaging 1.6 trips to the line where he’s hitting 69%. Per 36 minutes, he goes to 7.3 ppg, 5 rpg, 2.8 apg (that’s particularly good for a bench big man — Dante Cunningham averages about an assist less per 36 this year and Derrick Williams — prepare yourself — was averaging .2 assists per 36). He also chips in 1.7 steals and about a block per 36, both of which are key since he’s known as a defensive-minded player.

Drilling a little deeper into advanced analytics, we can see that his PER is below league average at 12.1, but that’s not really surprising for a defensive specialist since PER has a bit of a rough time with defense. Over his career, his offensive and defensive ratings are about even at 105 and 104, respectively, but again: for a guy coming off the bench, this is pretty solid work. This season he actually has an ORtg of 117 and a DRtg of 106, which is good, but probably also a little misleading since he’s only played a total of 196 minutes. (Of course, Williams only managed 162 minutes so far this season.)

All of that is what Basketball Reference can tell us. NBAWowy has some interesting info to contribute for on/off numbers. This season, the Kings are scoring 1.053 points per possession with LRMAM on the court and 1.021 ppp with him off the court. Not a huge swing. It’s not as rosy for LRMAM on the defensive side, actually. Opponents are scoring 1.102 ppp with him on, 1.058 with him off. But keep in mind the Kings are not very good (4-9, last in the Pacific, with a net rating (offensive rating minus defensive rating) of -4.6).

So the case for LRMAM is not stunningly good when it comes to on/off numbers, but Williams looks even worse by comparison. With Williams on the bench, Minnesota is scoring 1.192 ppp while giving up 1.095, or basically 10 more points per 100 possessions. With Williams on the floor, they’re scoring .934 ppp and giving up 1.016, a nearly 18-point swing in the wrong direction. Long story short, LRMAM is not going to solve the offensive deficiencies of the Wolves’ bench, but solving defensive problems is in some way solving offensive problems as well. If the bench can play closer to even with LRMAM out there than they could with Williams, that’s a net gain.

The NBA’s Player Tracking site has some more wrinkles to add, especially in comparison to Williams. Opposing players are shooting 42.9% at the rim against LRMAM, 66.7% against Williams. LRMAM is making 80% of his close shots and has an effective FG% of 48.4% while Williams is only making 50% of his close shots and has an effective FG% of 37%.

When you put all this together, what it essentially shows is that Mbah a Moute is a player who understands his own game on the floor, and that’s precisely what you want out of a bench player. Williams’ poor effective FG% (which weights 3-pointers more heavily than 2-pointers) points to his subpar decision-making right now: when he catches the ball he never seems certain whether he wants to pull up or drive or stepback. As a result, he’s often taking poor quality shots. And Williams’ struggles to finish are well known — basically, a guys as athletic as he is shouldn’t be making only half his shots at the rim.

Mbah a Moute is going to fit much better into Adelman’s vision of the team than Williams ever did or would. Much like Cunningham, Mbah a Moute has carved out a niche for himself and can do that job capably — the equation of his talent, his approach and his minutes is roughly in equilibrium, and that’s exactly what you want for a player coming in off the bench.

By way of contrast, Williams has too much natural athleticism to figure out what to do with it in limited minutes behind Kevin Love. It’s always been concerning that he doesn’t seem to have the motor and initiative to go along with his physical gifts, but I honestly think there’s a strong chance he comes into his own if he can get starter’s minutes on a not-so-good team where he can make mistakes. It’s been hard to tell how much of his indecision on the court is due to something inherent in his approach or a product of just not fitting into what Adelman has wanted him to do. With him in Sacramento, we should get a chance to see.

The bottom line here is that the Wolves traded a player who was a poor fit for their team for one who should be a much better fit. Divorced from all concerns about draft pick position and contract, this is the Wolves doing one of the things a team needs to do to secure a rotation that can support an entire game of effort. Chase Budinger is back with the team now, rehabbing and shooting, so hopefully when he returns it will bolster the second unit further and we can begin to see a set of starters and steady rotation that will be less subject to big fluctuations in both offensive and defensive production.

Steve McPherson

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10 responses to A Luc Richard Mbah a Moute Primer

  1. A Rubio-Brewer-LRMAM combination would be pretty lllloonnngggg. And if Brewer lights it up like he did against Cleveland when he was filling in for Martin it might not be too terrible offensively… Not that I believe they would be on the court at the same time for more than a defensive stop.

  2. This comment from the other Prince Luc post really belongs here:

    The questions I have about Prince Luc: 1) How does his impact on defense measure up to Kirilenko’s? AK was supposedly overrated and wasn’t necessarily a stopper, but AK’s slightly better in steals and blocks and worse in rebounding. AK, obviously, is the superior offensive player in every way. 2) Besides shooting, does he bring more offensively than what he showed in Milwaukee? His assist % nearly doubled in Sacramento (small sample size alert). I’m mostly curious if he’ll be able to cut off the ball for layups and pass somewhat. He becomes much less useful if he has to stand in a corner as the D sags off of him.

    As for Williams, Basketball Prospectus’ player rankings have done the best job of measuring productive athleticism. Williams didn’t (couldn’t?) really use his athleticism to increase his productivity.

  3. Moe (Wonzi Bells) November 26, 2013 at 3:48 pm

    I’m guessing that he’ll essentially be bigger version of Brewer for the Wolves’ second unit. I checked out his pure point rating and it’s been around league average at the SF position but unlike Kirlinko, LRMAM isn’t just a body out there, he can seriously defend at the wing position. Offensively, he’s just a cutter and guy who gets points off offensive rebounds but standing in the corner ain’t gonna look so pretty. The Wolves don’t need him to score, they’re waiting for Budinger for that. He just needs to shore up the second units defense, which is terrible this year

  4. My question is how does he affect Dante’s minutes. Does this make Dante purely a back up at the 4 (great?), and does it send a message to Shved “we can always trade you to the worst team in a division!”

  5. By the way, how can his nickname be anything but Prince Luc? LRMAM sounds like a missile defense system.

  6. But I like that it sounds like a missile defense system. Although I also like Jean-Luc Richard. ENGAGE.

  7. After budinger and turiaf comes back this team would be one of the best in the league. Their offense and defense both would take a step further and into the playoffs.

  8. I just call him Mbah.

  9. Kings fans here, just wanted to inform you guys on what you are getting. Luc saw limited action with us this year due to an early injury. The Kings are a bad team, but he was definitely not one of the problems. He can guard 1 through 4s effectively, and plays smart defense, contesting shots and using his length to hassle people. He doesn’t take bad shots, and scores within the flow of the offense as probably the 4th or 5th option when on the floor. He’s an average at best 3 point shooter, probably a bit below. Definitely a smart player, and it seems like it could fit in nicely on a team that would go into the playoffs. Hopefully the trade works out for both teams!

Trackbacks and Pingbacks:

  1. Dealing Derrick Williams: Trading Potential for Production - Dunking with Wolves - A Minnesota Timberwolves Fan Site - News, Blogs, Opinion and More - November 26, 2013

    […] Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is making 80% of his shots near the rim. Derrick Williams is at 50%. Moute is averaging 2.8 assists per 36 minutes. Williams is at .2. (Hat tip, Steve McPherson.) […]

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