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Adelman

Rick Adelman became a broken record last year. Someone for the Wolves would go down with an injury and he’d start talking about how guys couldn’t feel sorry for themselves and had to step up. They had to make the most of their opportunity to help the team. Ricky Rubio went down with his ACL injury. Kevin Love got a concussion. Nikola Pekovic had bone spurs in his ankle the size of Gibraltar. Pick any of JJ Barea’s 27 injuries from last year.

Guys went down and the Wolves went down with them. Nobody stepped up. Nobody cared. Everybody had the calendar circled for their vacation and not for the playoffs. Once Rubio was gone, the season was lost. Once Love was gone, the season was a joke. Once Pek was gone, it was the same old Wolves again. Adelman begged a set of players without anything close to a guarantee of a future with this organization to show some pride and we only saw it one game, when they finally broke their April losing streak.  Continue Reading…

Miss u guys

Here we are — two peas in a pod.

Both the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves have been survivors through the first two weeks of the NBA season. We both lost our star power forwards for about a month to start the season. They’ve lost Shawn Marion after a hot start; we’ve lost Chase Budinger, JJ Barea, and parts of Brandon Roy after our hot start. This leads to the inquiry by some as to whether or not this basketball team or even Minnesota sports in general are cursed.  Continue Reading…

 

Andrei Kirilenko patrols the paint

As I alluded to last night, one of the most encouraging elements of the Wolves nice start has been their basic competence on defense. That doesn’t sound like much, but if you’re a Wolves’ fan of long standing you know the thrill in the blood induced by those simple words. Great defense isn’t truly satisfying until you’ve been made to watch (and cheer for) hours and days of awful defense; and lord knows we have. Its true that the team hasn’t played many offensive juggernauts so far–of the Wolves’ five opponents, only the Nets have managed to crack the top-25 in offensive efficiency. Still: the Wolves are allowing just .93 points per possession, good for seventh in the league. That is happy news no matter who you’re playing.

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Hello, Brooklyn!

After the horrible aftermath in the New York area (and much of the Eastern seaboard) took away the Brooklyn Nets’ theatrical home opener against the New York Knicks to kick off the Brooklyn era properly, New York’s newest team finally debuted their new duds and domicile against the Toronto Raptors. I don’t have a ton to add about that game. The Nets rode Brook Lopez and just pounded the Raptors inside to get the win. Think what you will about Brook Lopez but he’s a weapon the Wolves really have to worry about tonight.

But we don’t have a ton to go off of with how this new Brooklyn team might play the Wolves tonight. What we CAN do is make fun of the Nets’ mascot. The Nets unveiled “the Brooklyn Knight” during the pregame introductions of the game against the Raptors and it was immediately the worst mascot I’ve ever seen. Here’s a fun fallout of the unveiling from The Brooklyn GameContinue Reading…

Brick city.

Its a bit embarrassing to look back on what I’ve written on home openers of years past and find an optimism that ended up being thoroughly unwarranted. In those back pages, you’ll find glowing talk of the newfound wing athleticism brought by Wes Johnson and Michael Beasley. You’ll hear about the possibility inherent in the triangle offense and the inevitability of an endless river of Mike Miller threes. So yeah, a little embarrassing. This is partly because new beginnings and the feelings of renewal they bring on and, oh yes, partly because the Wolves open at home against the Sacramento Kings nearly every year. Its enough to stir the optimist in anybody.

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_42962601_tortoise_afp416I admit that it’s hard to look at Ricky Rubio’s injury as anything but a disaster when it comes to the Timberwolves, but hear me out, because it may be a big part of the reason we’re looking at Budinger, Kirilenko and Roy out there and not Webster, Beasley and Johnson. Engage in the following thought experiment with me.

Ricky Rubio does not tear his ACL on March 9, 2012 against the Lakers. Instead, they continue on the pace they’d established in their previous ten games and win 70% of their remaining games, finishing with a record of 37-29. They get the 7th spot in the playoffs and face the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder, whose regular season record against the Wolves was a perfect 3-0, handily dispatch the Timberwolves in a gentleman’s sweep of 4-1. (I’m giving the Wolves at least one win based on how close that double OT game against the Thunder was.) So now, looking at an offseason after the team’s first trip to the playoffs after a seven-year drought, what do they do?

Well, first of all, they don’t have the 18th pick in the draft since they made the playoffs and forced Utah out of the eighth seed in doing so. So there’s no trade for Budinger. As problematic as Beasley, Randolph, Webster, and Johnson looked in the regular season once Rubio went down, it’s easy to forget that Rubio even made Randolph look good for a stretch there. In our alternate reality, the success of the team has helped Johnson find himself as an athletic defensive wing, helped Beasley acclimate to coming off the bench as the kind of killer sixth man Jason Terry became in Dallas, and the double PG lineup with Rubio and Ridnour has begun to look like near-genius with Ridnour hitting threes and running secondary pick and rolls. Let’s even say that Randolph and Webster are a complete loss, having never gotten with the program. Their contracts aren’t renewed, and Darko is amnestied. But Beasley signs for his qualifying offer, Johnson’s contract isn’t shipped off, and all those moves they cleared room for—like signing Brandon Roy and Alexey Shved and Andrei Kirilenko—can’t happen because there just isn’t room. Maybe they get Roy or Shved, but not both. And with Johnson and Beasley rotating at SF, there’s less need for Kirilenko in any case.
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I’d like to talk to you about a serious pandemic that is hurting this great planet we inhabit.

It’s called Knuckle Pushup Prehensile Fracture Disorder, or KPPFD. KPPFD literally affects dozen of power forwards each year, crippling their hands for month at a time. The key to battling KPPFD is to make sure workouts for star athletes are being done in a safe and secured environment. You want to have a soft floor of carpeting or a yoga mat to soften the force affecting the carpal bones in your hands. If not done properly, you can suffer from KPPFD and send thousands of fans into a panic.

We have not found a cure for KPPFD but with even a donation of just $15 million per year, we can support those who suffer.

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Is this an option? —@alongerlook

So, uh, I don’t know how to break this to you but … wait, bad choice of words. You see, sometimes, things happen and … no. This isn’t going well.

Kevin Love broke his hand this morning while working out and will miss 6-8 weeks, meaning 16-21 games, meaning up to a quarter of the season. There: I said it.

Two things come to mind immediately: This is terrible and this isn’t so bad. Let me start with the latter. Although the Wolves have stocked up impressive depth at the point guard position, with at least five players on the roster capable of playing the one-spot (Ridnour, Barea, Rubio, Shved, Lee), the elephant in the room this offseason has been how many players they’ve acquired that would be best at the four but won’t play there because of Love. Kirilenko was most effective in his last season at Utah at the four, and while Adelman maintains that Williams has to play both forward positions, he is—as of right now—still better suited to playing power forward. Add in guys like Amundson and Cunningham and the Wolves have some pretty solid, if not outstanding depth at the position.

Compare this all to last season, when Love going down would have meant a rookie Williams, Tolliver, and Randolph rotating at power forward, with maybe Beasley getting some minutes there. Hardly awe-inspiring. If the tenor of the locker room has genuinely changed, this also might be the best test of that. Last season, this would have absolutely torpedoed the team’s confidence. It’s now time for the much-vaunted veterans the team acquired to step up and show that they can lead.

And while what we’ll see out on the floor to start the season isn’t a lineup you can confidently pencil in for a 7th or 8th seed the way we all were, uh, yesterday, it’s at least conceivable they hold serve, and maybe even learn way to play effectively that the presence of Kevin Love would never have revealed. Love’s production can’t be duplicated, of course. But I think it can also be plugged back in without disrupting things too badly because so much of it comes from rebounding, put backs, and spot-ups. The offensive plan doesn’t revolve around him the same way it does for Derrick Rose or Kevin Durant.

Now let’s go back to the terrible part. This is terrible for this fanbase. Rubio’s injury was already a blow to its newly-earned happiness, and I think we’d almost talked ourselves into thinking we could make it through to Rubio’s return without too much further disappointment and then this happens. There’s an unmistakable “Why can’t we have nice things?” vibe to this whole thing, and it’s a mantle that’s discomfitingly comfortable for a battered fanbase.

And no one must have felt as bad about this as Love did when it happened. For a guy who’s put a lot out there about the team competing and not giving up, who’s put his name on the line by calling out the management in the offseason, this must be a terrible blow to his sense of himself as a player and leader. Now he has to watch them come together—or not—while he’s on the bench.

I’m going to resist the urge to come to any grand conclusions right now. This is still unfolding and I’m still processing the ramifications. Everyone’s been saying that when the Timberwolves take floor this season, it will be a whole new team. That statement will be even more true now, and not in a good way.

After tonight, we’ll be halfway through the preseason madness, which means we’re halfway to the start of the regular season. Hooray for hoops!

I don’t know that there is much I have to say after last game that won’t be said in a Pekovic article I’ve got posting sometime tomorrow. So I’ll turn your attention to the Hollinger forecast for the Wolves he posted today. He’s got the T’Wolves finishing 45-37, third in the division, and seventh in the Western Conference. This sounds like a pretty great scenario for the Wolves.

We don’t need to get into a lot of preseason predictions but every advanced stats person seems to be projecting the Wolves for big things this year. And by big things I mean making the playoffs and winning a healthy number of games. Here’s an excerpt from the Insider article from Hollinger:

The biggest reason for optimism in Minnesota has less to do with Rubio and Love, and more to do with Darko and Johnson.

Here’s why: If the Wolves can just replace all the crappy players they used last season with average ones, they should have a really good team. It’s pretty amazing how many minutes this team gave players who had no business being in a rotation, let alone prominently figuring in one. Milicic started 23 games; Johnson, unbelievably, started 64.

That’s not all. Go down the list, and you’ll see Tolliver, Milicic, Johnson, Ellington and Webster all had single-digit PERs, and those five players played nearly 5,000 combined minutes. Beasley and Williams killed the Wolves with their shot selection, but they played another 2,500. That’s 7,500 minutes devoted to nonperformers. To put that in perspective, it nearly quadruples Love’s playing time.

This season the Wolves are replacing a lot of that performance with real basketball players: Kirilenko, Budinger, Shved, Cunningham and Stiemsma all should be improvements on the players they replaced. The new wing players provide particularly massive upgrades, while also allowing the Wolves to play a more traditional backcourt. (They started two point guards for most of last season because the wings were so bad.)

While I don’t have high expectations for Roy, anything he gives them will be gravy. And then there’s Williams, who one has to think will show more shot discipline (and, hopefully, accuracy) in his sophomore season.

There’s a lot of good stuff in there, so I recommend clicking the link and checking out John’s entire preview (if you have Insider, of course). I’m trying to remain cautiously optimistic. Over/under for Wolves’ wins this year seems to be around 39.5 for a lot fo places and I think 40 or 41 seems like a fair estimation without going overboard. If Rubio was going to be healthy all year, I’d be through the roof and being completely insufferable preaching the Wolves’ success.

But alas, I can’t bring myself to those lofty exultations just yet.

For today’s 3-on-3, I brought back Noam Schiller of Hardwood Paroxysm. He’s a noted Israeli basketball fan, who loves cheering for a horrible Hapoel team. That Hapoel team employs old friend, Craig Smith. He knows the Wolves’ opponents tonight better than just about any basketball writer there is out there. I also had Steve McPherson come back for some 3-on-3 action, mainly because he’s a newbie to the site and didn’t have a choice he just did a great email exchange with Noam about the matchup and the greater state of everything Minnesota and Israel basketball.

Let’s get it on. Continue Reading…

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I wish I had something to add to last night’s affair against the Pacers, but I sadly didn’t get to watch the game. It looks like the Wolves let Derrick Williams be the man and sat the majority of the main guys to give them some rest. This is to be expected during the preseason. Maybe the key the rest of the preseason is to see if guys like Amundson, Cunningham, Derrick, Chase, and even Shved, Barea or Conroy can develop any chemistry as a second unit of sorts.

These guys need to learn how to play together, as much as they need to learn how to play in the system. Especially in an offense that is so reliant on feel of what the defense is giving you and how you’re going to exploit it away from the ball, the Wolves’ bench guys will need to learn the mannerisms of their teammates when a backdoor cut is coming or it’s better to pop or roll after the pick.

I’m very interested to see if we see any progression throughout the preseason with the second unit.

For today’s 3-on-3, I’ve grabbed Matt McHale of Bulls By The Horns and Basketbawful fame. I’ve had the pleasure of hanging out with Matt before and I can tell you he’s a very funny guy, a smart basketball mind, and someone that literally just throws drinks on the floor in an effort to announce his presence with authority. Ben Polk is also joining us for the 3-on-3, and while I’ve never watched him throw drinks at people, I’m confident he can acquire this skill.  Continue Reading…